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The shooting of former president Donald Trump and three attendees at his rally was just one of nearly听听in the US so far this year.

Amid all the shocking news from that day, there was one depressingly familiar detail. The shooter used an听, the kind of semiautomatic weapon that has featured in dozens of听听since the听.

Despite the听听it has brought, the AR-15 has a fierce grip on American politics. 罢丑别听听has called the AR-15 鈥溾��, and in 2023听.

The AR-15 enjoys a听听on the American Right, a defiant response to persistent efforts听.

Since a Clinton-era assault weapons ban expired in 2004, the United States has never come close to reinstating federal curbs on semiautomatic rifles. Will this change now that an AR-15 almost claimed the life of Donald Trump, the former Republican president and current presidential nominee? It鈥檚 unlikely. But past shootings of American presidents have given rise to some of the most significant gun control reforms in the country鈥檚 history.

The murder of President John F. Kennedy in November 1963 began a painful discussion about the need to curtail the flow of cheap firearms in the United States. Lee Harvey Oswald had used a surplus Italian military rifle,听, to shoot the president.

Within days of Kennedy鈥檚 death, Connecticut Senator Thomas Dodd was proposing legislation to ban mail order sales of rifles. His initial proposals never made it out of Senate committees, and听.

But President Lyndon Johnson continued to press Congress on the issue, which eventually resulted in the听. This introduced minimum ages for gun purchases, restricted interstate sales, and prohibited sales to felons,听听and 鈥渕entally incompetent鈥� persons.

Tragically, it took two more shooting assassinations to get the legislation passed. The murder of听听in April 1968, followed by听听as he campaigned for the presidency in June, provided the final push for congressional votes in favour of the legislation.

By this point, the Gun Control Act even had the partial support of NRA Executive Vice President Franklin Orth. He testified before a Congressional Committee in favour of banning mail order sales,听:

We do not think any sane American, who calls himself an American, can object to placing in this bill the instrument that killed the president.

罢丑别听听in 1981 is remembered today for the听听and the听听of his would-be killer. But it also led to the most enduring gun control reforms of the last 40 years.

Reagan鈥檚 press secretary James Brady was shot in the head and paralysed during the attack on Reagan. His wife Sarah Brady became a leading campaigner for gun control, and her organisation threw its weight behind the听听when it was first introduced to Congress in 1987.

This bill amended the 1968 Gun Control Act to mandate background checks and waiting periods for firearm purchases, both of which could have prevented the Reagan shooting. It failed in 1988 and again in 1991听. This was largely due to the NRA, which had now听听into an absolutist opponent of gun control with considerable influence in Congress.

The Brady Act finally听听with the support of the Clinton Administration in 1993. It has since been credited with reductions in听听补苍诲听. Reagan, along with former presidents Jimmy Carter and Gerald Ford (who survived听听himself), also听, which had almost unanimous support in the Senate but听听ten years later.

Since the George W. Bush administration, Republicans have stood firm against almost any form of national gun control. The NRA has听, especially over Democrats, but gun rights have become one of the signature battles of America鈥檚 culture wars.

It is an听听issue for Republicans, who have opposed even听听that large majorities of Americans听. Trump, mindful of anything that could harm his chances of getting elected, has removed almost any mention of guns or the Second Amendment from this year鈥檚 Republican platform.

If anyone could actually weaken the Republican orthodoxy on guns, it would be Trump at this moment, given his colossal standing in the party. But if his听听听and current听听are anything to go by, there is little chance of him ever supporting听听for a renewal of the assault weapons ban.

Previous shootings of presidents have forced Americans to reconsider the role of guns in national life. But for Trump鈥檚 supporters, his survival may fit a pro-gun narrative.

罢丑别听听that 鈥渢he only thing that stops a bad guy with a gun is a good guy with a gun鈥� is not a call to end gun violence. It鈥檚 a call to embrace gun violence as natural, and to be on the winning side of it.

Americans have thankfully been spared the truly horrific images that would have ensued if a bullet had killed Trump. Instead, Trump has created an听听of survival and triumph, while his attacker was killed in seconds by the Secret Service. As traumatic as this event was for some of those who attended it, it has rapidly become a听听听for many of Trump鈥檚 supporters.

For years,听听of the听听have been听听in terms of war. The attempted killing of Trump will have confirmed for many of them that their enemies are truly dangerous, but they are destined to win. Senator Marco Rubio tweeted within minutes of the assassination attempt that 鈥淕od protected President Trump鈥�.

Who needs gun control when you鈥檝e got that?

Associate Professor David Smith, is Associate Professor in American Politics and Foreign Policy in the Discipline of Government and International Relations. He is a co-author of and a member of the US Studies Centre.听 This story was first published in .

Hero Image: Former US President Donald Trump is rushed off stage by secret service after being shot at during a campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, USA, 13 July 2024. Image credit: David Maxwell/EPA/AAP